1
عمومی::
سیاست داخلی
Due to the fragmented nature of postrevolutionary Iran's domestic politics, such an outcome might have to emerge from a potential convergence of sufficiently influential Iranian officials.
Pathway 3 deserves consideration in Iran's case due to the country's substantial military expenditures that have accompa- nied its nuclear ambitions as well as the noticeable domestic influence particularly of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC).129 Ac- cordingly, Shahram Chubin describes the IRGC as a "formidable policy actor with security as well as commercial interests."130 While the IRGC can lack popular support owing in part to its internal security role, the IRGC's domestic political clout is highlighted by the vast number of current or former IRGC members in government in recent years; for example, Pres.
It can equally be postulated that a successive new supreme leader after Ali Khamenei, who is less favorable to (and less strategically reliant upon) the wide-ranging economic, political, and military engagements of the IRGC, could use his position to rein in the Revolutionary Guards' domestic political role and influence, which could stimulate Iran's movement along pathway 3.
In this regard, key arguments might be envis- aged in relation to: (1) external security environment (without status arguments); (2) domestic politics/political economy; (3) coercive pres- sure; and (4) regime change.
Domestic Politics/Political Economy
واژگان شبکه مترجمین ایران